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Bonnie Barnes-Tracey Advisory Group

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CIBC Private Wealth

March 18, 2026

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Morning Market Brief

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) reported that home sales in Canada declined for a fourth straight month in February. Canadian real estate market activity dipped in 2025, and muted activity has persisted into the first two months of 2026 amid consumer concerns about Canada’s economy and labour market. While purchasers have tiptoed into the real estate market, sellers have taken notice and lowered prices more in February, trying to entice those buyers to the market.

  • Sales of existing homes in Canada declined by 1.3% in February. This follows a 5.8% decline in January, which was driven by inclement weather. This marks the fourth straight monthly decline. New listings declined by 3.9% in February over the previous month.
  • CREA reported that the benchmark home price declined by 0.6% in February over the previous month. Compared to the previous year, the benchmark home price dropped by 4.8%. Sellers have lowered prices in hopes of driving more interest in their homes.
  • Despite lower sales in February, CREA noted that activity began to pick up late in the month, reinforcing its expectations of stronger activity throughout the spring and summer months.
  • On Tuesday, the federal government opened applications for its new first-time home buyers rebate. Eligible purchasers may recover up to $50,000 on substantially renovated or newly constructed homes.
  • On Monday, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation said housing starts increased by 4.5% to 250,900 in February.

CREA says there is a lot of pent-up demand from first-time home buyers waiting on the sidelines, which could result in higher sales over 2026. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, which has pushed up energy prices, stoking concerns about inflation. Surging inflationary pressures could have the Bank of Canada raising interest rates, offering little support to mortgage holders. Uncertainty is high, which is weighing on the outlook for many areas of the Canadian and global economies.

If you would like to discuss this economic and market update or have questions about your finances and investments, please feel free to contact me anytime.

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CIBC Private Wealth” consists of services provided by CIBC and certain of its subsidiaries through CIBC Private Banking; CIBC Private Investment Counsel, a division of CIBC Asset Management Inc. (“CAM”); CIBC Trust Corporation; and CIBC Wood Gundy, a division of CIBC World Markets Inc. (“WMI”). CIBC Private Banking provides solutions from CIBC Investor Services Inc. (“ISI”), CAM and credit products. CIBC Private Wealth services are available to qualified individuals. Insurance services are only available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services Inc. In Quebec, insurance services are only available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services (Quebec) Inc.


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