Scott Sheppard
March 28, 2022
Tactical Growth Mandate - Weekly Briefing
Opening Day of the baseball season is a mere two weeks away. I’m a die hard Blue Jays fan and the team is looking good this year. Odds-makers have the Jays in the top 5 of teams likely to win the World Series. They’ve added some new star players to complement their existing core. Being a fan of Toronto teams, you eventually learn that optimism is highest before the season starts and regular let downs are to be expected….but I’m sure we have a winner this year:)
Now, if my Blue Jays are to win the World Season this year, they aren’t going to do it with Robby Alomar and Joe Carter, or even Jose Bautista. New players have come into the mix and have taken the baton from past seasons’ stars. I look at portfolio management in a similar fashion.
If we’ve entered a new market cycle, it’s historically unlikely that this past decade’s big winners will also lead the charge the rest of this decade. Names like Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix & Google that emerged as market leaders have already played past their prime. It’s not that these names can’t still play ball, it’s just that they aren’t likely to produce most of the runs on the scoreboard anymore.
We don’t yet know what companies will emerge as tomorrow’s all-stars, but we’re always scouting for the next hot prospects. The never-ending quest is important because, as Babe Ruth said, “yesterday’s homeruns don’t win today’s ballgames”.