Scott Sheppard
June 27, 2022
Tactical Growth Mandate - Weekly Briefing
I just got to the office and discovered that it’s Discovery Day in NL. When I googled why things are closed today I then discovered that it’s now known as “June Holiday”. Apparently the province will be holding consultation for new names. My vote is “Shut’er down so we can all just be friends day”
The S&P500 may have discovered a bottom last week – at least in the short term anyway. After diving to 3650, the market has rallied back 7% to 3911. My narrative hasn’t changed and I’m treating this as a rally within an overall falling stock market. Unless the evidence changes, I’ll be looking to unload our aggressive stock positions into short term market strength.
Last week I added an incremental exposure to China through an ETF. As we had positioned 90% + invested the prior week, I didn’t make any other trades. We did participate in the market rally last week, but we were held back as precious metals (32.5% exposure for the mandate) had a lousy week.
I read on Sunday that the G7 are expected to announce an import ban on Russian gold. Russia is also expected to default on their government bond payments from May 27. That financial fallout from this shouldn’t be bad for gold and silver. We are also entering a period of seasonal strength for silver so I’ll be watching closely to see how our positions react this week.