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Smith Falconer Financial Group

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Address CIBC Wood Gundy Toronto Bay Adelaide Branch 333 Bay St., Suite 2800 Toronto ON, M5H 2R2
Telephone Number (416) 594-7950
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Smith Falconer Financial Group

September 02, 2025

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Fall leaves

The September Effect

Our team enjoys the arrival of autumn and the sense of renewal that September brings - much like a "New Year". We embrace this fresh start, finding the changing season both energizing and motivating. While we are not alone in feeling this way, it's important to recognize that for the stock market, September isn't always associated with positive outcomes. 

 

Historically, trading volumes in September have increased by an average of 13% compared to the quieter summer months, as "Wall Street gets back to work after Labour Day." This uptick in activity often leads to greater market volatility.

 

This phenomenon is known as the "September Effect" - a term that highlights September's reputation as the worst month for stock market performance. Since 1925, September has been the only month with a negative return on average.

 

Periods of short-term uncertainty like these can distract investors and cloud judgment regarding long-term financial goals. While it's important to understand the factors influencing portfolio returns, we believe that "patience" and "time" remain crucial. With confidence, experience and a long-term strategy, investors should look beyond anticipated weakness and increased volatility, focusing instead on long-term goals and objectives. 

 

Fasten your seat belts and keep your eyes on the horizon - we will get through September together! 

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<p><span arial="" style="font-family:">This information, including any opinion, is based on various sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed and is subject to change.</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span arial="" style="font-family:">Clients are advised to seek advice regarding their particular circumstances from their personal tax and legal advisors.</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span arial="" style="font-family:">CIBC Private Wealth consists of services provided by CIBC and certain of its subsidiaries, including CIBC Wood Gundy, a division of CIBC World Markets Inc. Insurance services are available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services Inc. In Quebec, insurance services are available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services (Quebec) Inc. The CIBC logo and &ldquo;CIBC Private Wealth&rdquo; are trademarks of CIBC, used under license. &ldquo;Wood Gundy&rdquo; is a registered trademark of CIBC World Markets Inc.</span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><span arial="" style="font-family:">Lois Smith and Rodney Falconer are Investment Advisors with CIBC Wood Gundy in Toronto. The views of Lois Smith and Rodney Falconer do not necessarily reflect those of CIBC World Markets Inc. If you are currently a CIBC Wood Gundy client, please contact your Investment Advisor.</span></p>
 
 
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CIBC Private Wealth” consists of services provided by CIBC and certain of its subsidiaries through CIBC Private Banking; CIBC Private Investment Counsel, a division of CIBC Asset Management Inc. (“CAM”); CIBC Trust Corporation; and CIBC Wood Gundy, a division of CIBC World Markets Inc. (“WMI”). CIBC Private Banking provides solutions from CIBC Investor Services Inc. (“ISI”), CAM and credit products. CIBC Private Wealth services are available to qualified individuals. Insurance services are only available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services Inc. In Quebec, insurance services are only available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services (Quebec) Inc.


CIBC Private Wealth services are available to qualified individuals. The CIBC logo and “CIBC Private Wealth” are trademarks of CIBC, used under license.