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Address 500 Centre Street SE 27th Floor Calgary AB, T2G 1A6
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Milan Cacic

October 17, 2022

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INTERESTING CHARTS…

No one knows for sure when this bear market will end and there is no shortage of opinions on what the end might look like and when it might come. Below are a few charts which might provide some relevant insights for you. As well, for those of you that are interested, I have attached the latest Technical Research by Sid Moktari. Let’s hope he is correct and that this October is when the bear dies!

 

 

1. The S&P 500 broke below its June low last week, extending this bear market (now the longest correction since the March 2009 low):

S&P Graph

Source: 10-Chart Thursday (10/6/22), Charlie Bilello, Compound Capital Advisors, October 2022

 

 

2. Intriguing dichotomy: Retail trader put buying soared (betting on a Crash?) while corporate insider selling plummeted:

Graph 2

Source: Twitter, Kaeppel, Jay (@jaykaeppel), "Hmmm. Retail trader put buying soared (betting on a Crash?) Meanwhile, corporate insider selling plummeted. Which horse do you like in this race? #sentimentrader", October 5, 2022, 8:05AM, Tweet.

 

3. Is fear good? Given the losses this year, bears have outnumbered the bulls by over 43%. Since 1987, the only times sentiment was more bearish was in October 1990 and March 2009:

 

graph 3

Table 1

Source: 10-Chart Thursday (10/6/22), Charlie Bilello, Compound Capital Advisors, October 2022

 

I have also included a piece from our CIBC Economics Team entitled "Can you hedge against inflation, or disinflation?".

 

As always, if you have any questions please feel free to give us a call.

 

Have a great weekend.

 

Milan

 

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