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Milan Cacic

July 30, 2026

Money Economy Commentary Weekly update Weekly commentary
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DON’T LET HEADLINES RUIN YOUR LONG WEEKEND

It's been another exciting week in the markets. Taiwan and South Korea experienced some eye-popping swings as speculative trading in AI-related stocks continues to resemble a casino more than an investment market. It's a reminder that not every market behaves the same way. 

Line chart of the Korea SE KOSPI Index from May to late July 2026, showing a rise from about 6,700 to a peak near 9,100 in June, followed by a volatile decline to around 5,700 by the end of the period.                                                                                 Source: LSEG. [KCI-SE] Daily Close. Data retrieved Jul 29, 2026.

Meanwhile, a much more important story has been unfolding in the U.S. Companies have been reporting another excellent earnings season, with profits continuing to surprise to the upside. At the end of the day, earnings are what drive long-term stock prices not the daily headlines.

Line chart titled “S&P 500 Earnings Growth (Q2 2026, Year over Year)” showing estimates rising gradually from about 18.6% in late March to around 24.8% by July 17, then jumping sharply to 37.9% on July 24.             Source: Factset. Data as of Jul 27, 2026.

It's a good reminder that there's a difference between volatility and value. News, tariffs, geopolitical events, and investor emotions can move markets in the short term, but growing earnings are what build wealth over time.

As we head into the August long weekend, I hope you get the chance to relax and spend time with family and friends. The market will still be here on Tuesday – and chances are the headlines will have found something new to worry about.

I have also included a link to the latest podcast from our CIBC Economics team entitled “AI, inflation and the Central Bank dilemma”.

Have a safe and enjoyable long weekend. Stay invested, enjoy the sunshine, and leave the market watching to us.

As always, if you have any questions, please feel free to give us a call at any time.

Milan

 

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CIBC Private Wealth” consists of services provided by CIBC and certain of its subsidiaries through CIBC Private Banking; CIBC Private Investment Counsel, a division of CIBC Asset Management Inc. (“CAM”); CIBC Trust Corporation; and CIBC Wood Gundy, a division of CIBC World Markets Inc. (“WMI”). CIBC Private Banking provides solutions from CIBC Investor Services Inc. (“ISI”), CAM and credit products. CIBC Private Wealth services are available to qualified individuals. Insurance services are only available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services Inc. In Quebec, insurance services are only available through CIBC Wood Gundy Financial Services (Quebec) Inc.


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